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International Journal of Medical Informatics

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Medical Informatics's content profile, based on 25 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.06% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Sentiment in Clinical Notes: A Predictor for Length of Stay?

Boyne, A.; Feygin, M.; Sholeen, J.; Zimolzak, A.

2026-03-18 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.16.26348553 medRxiv
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BackgroundLength of stay (LOS) is a critical metric for hospital operational efficiency. While structured clinical data is widely used to predict LOS, unstructured admission notes contain latent prognostic information regarding diagnostic uncertainty and disease complexity. This study evaluates the efficacy of extracting sentiment and direct LOS estimates from admission notes to predict patient hospitalization duration. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study of 4,503 adult patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia between 2013 and 2023. Admission history and physical notes were preprocessed and filtered to extract physician-generated narratives. We evaluated four natural language processing models, VADER, TextBlob, Longformer, and an open-source large language model (GPT-oss-20B), to generate zero-shot sentiment scores. Additionally, GPT-oss-20B was prompted to directly estimate LOS. Model outputs were correlated with actual LOS using linear regression and Pearson correlation coefficients. ResultsSentiment models demonstrated statistically significant, albeit weak, correlations with actual LOS. Longformer achieved the highest variance explained among sentiment classifiers (R2 = 0.019). Direct LOS estimation by the LLM outperformed sentiment-based approaches, demonstrating the strongest correlation with actual hospital duration (r = -0.218, p < 0.001). Model agreement was generally poor (ICC = 0.059), and computational time varied drastically, from 2.6 seconds per 100 notes (TextBlob) to over 370 seconds (GPT-oss-20B). ConclusionZero-shot sentiment analysis of clinical notes yields a small but measurable correlation with LOS, limited primarily by the objective, non-evaluative nature of clinical documentation. Direct LLM estimation of clinical outcomes outperforms emotional sentiment extraction. Future predictive systems should integrate computationally efficient NLP models capable of capturing latent clinical complexity alongside established structured data variables.

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Development of a natural language processing application to extract and categorize mentions of violence from mental healthcare records text

Li, L.; Sondh, S.; Sondh, H. K.; Stewart, R.; Roberts, A.

2026-03-26 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.22.26348435 medRxiv
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BackgroundExperiences of violence are reported frequently by mental health service users, victims of violence are at a greater risk of mental health disorders, and violence may sometimes occur as a consequence of a mental disorder. Electronic health records (EHRs) are an important source of information about healthcare, and its social context. Occurrences of violence are not routinely recorded as structured data in EHRs but are however recorded in the free text narrative. ObjectiveOur objective was to address this research gap by creating a natural language processing (NLP) application that extracts information related to various forms of violence (physical (non-sexual), sexual, emotional, and financial) from the EHR of a large south London mental health service. Additionally, we aimed to extract features concerning the patients role (victimization vs. perpetration), timing (recent vs. historic), domestic context, presence (actual, threat, or unclear), and polarity (affirmed, abstract, or negated) of the violent behaviors. MethodsTwo raters independently annotated 6,500 randomly selected segments of clinical notes containing violence-related keywords from a large mental healthcare provider in South London, each containing 400 characters (with approximately 200 characters before and after the keyword) after rigorous training using a pre-defined and approved coding book provided by senior professionals. We utilized 90% of the annotated data for fine-tuning a multi-label BERT model (employing 5-fold cross-validation) with the remaining 10% of data reserved for a blind test. ResultsThe model performed well on the blind test set for emotional violence (F1= 0.89), financial violence (0.88), physical (non-sexual) violence (0.84), and unspecified violence (0.81), and the patient role (0.89 as perpetrator; 0.84 as victim), polarity (0.89 for affirmed behavior), presence (0.95 for actual violence), and domestic settings (0.88). We were unable to achieve satisfactory results in capturing temporal aspects (0.65 for past violence). ConclusionsWe were able to improve substantially on previously developed NLP for ascertaining violence in routine mental health records, providing novel opportunities for both surveillance and research.

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Can Large Language Models Diagnose Primary Immunodeficiency from Patient-Described Symptoms?

Reteig, L. C.; Woloshin, S.; Maglione, P. J.; Farmer, J. R.; Ong, M.-S.

2026-05-27 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353818 medRxiv
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Patients with primary immunodeficiency (PID) often face prolonged diagnostic delays and may increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) to interpret their symptoms during this period. We evaluated whether an LLM could recognize PID from symptom descriptions derived from interviews with 21 PID patients. In a prior study, we showed that GPT-4o identified PID in 96% of cases when prompted with physician-written patient histories (Rider et al., JACI, 2024). Here, when prompted with symptom descriptions in patients' own words, GPT-5 identified PID in only 7 cases (33%), although it more broadly suggested immune system issues in 18 cases (81%). The gap between these findings indicates that LLMs are sensitive to the language and framing of symptom descriptions, performing substantially worse when patients describe their own symptoms in everyday language than when clinicians summarize patient histories in structured medical terms. This study underscores the need to carefully evaluate how LLMs are used in patient-facing applications.

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Identifying academic success and underperformance: The discriminative power of very short answer questions and multiple-choice questions

van Wijk, E. V.; van Blankenstein, F. M.; Ruijter, B. N.; Rohling, J. H. T.; van der Kraan, J.; Dekker, F. W.; Langers, A.

2026-05-01 medical education 10.64898/2026.04.29.26352108 medRxiv
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BackgroundMultiple-choice questions (MCQs) are widely used in medical education, but are criticized for cueing and guessing. Very short answer questions (VSAQs), which require students to generate responses independently, may better assess knowledge. While VSAQs demonstrate higher item discrimination within individual exams, their effectiveness in distinguishing academic performance across multiple assessments remains unclear - representing a key gap in the validation of VSAQs under Messicks framework, specifically the category of "relations to other variables". This study examines whether VSAQs or MCQs more effectively distinguish students of varying performance levels across multiple summative examinations. MethodsWe analyzed retrospective data from six mixed-format examinations with VSAQs and MCQs of three cohorts of first- and second-year medical students. Academic performance was measured using grade point average (GPA) across assessments. Linear regression assessed the relationship of each question format with GPA, while ROC curves and C-statistics evaluated their ability to identify poor and excellent performing students (lowest and highest quintile of GPA). ResultsVSAQs showed higher item discrimination (Rir-values) than MCQs in all exams. VSAQs also had a stronger positive association with GPA compared to MCQs, and higher C-statistics, indicating superior discriminative ability. ConclusionVSAQs outperform MCQs in distinguishing academic performance levels across multiple assessments. Their integration into examinations enhances discriminative ability and may facilitate earlier identification of poor and excellent performing students, enabling targeted interventions and support of students.

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A Comparison of Manual and Automated Approaches to Developing Computable Algorithms for Identifying Acute Pancreatitis

Bann, M. A.; Carrell, D. S.; Gruber, S.; Heagerty, P. J.; Williamson, B. D.; Nelson, J. C.; Hazlehurst, B.; Felcher, A.; Nyongesa, D. B.; Slaughter, M. T.; Sapp, D. S.; Cronkite, D. J.; Ball, R.; Floyd, J. S.

2026-06-08 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354934 medRxiv
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Objective: Clinical phenotyping methods that rely on clinical and informatics expertise can be time-intensive and costly. We tested both manual and highly automated approaches using electronic health record (EHR) data to identify an FDA Sentinel Initiative health outcome of interest, acute pancreatitis. Materials and Methods: We trained and evaluated machine learning algorithms using EHR data with two approaches: a custom approach that included manually curated features and trained on outcomes data validated with medical record review, and a highly automated approach that greatly simplifies and automates feature engineering and relies on low-cost silver-standard outcomes for model training. Results: Custom algorithms using manually curated structured claims data discriminated cases from non-cases with a high degree of accuracy (cv-AUC 0.89 [95%CI 0.84-0.94]); the inclusion of natural language processing (NLP)-derived covariates from clinical notes increased performance slightly (cv-AUC 0.91[95%CI 0.86-0.97]). The automated algorithm trained on the outcome count of diagnosis codes performed less well (AUC 0.80 [95% CI 0.75-0.85]) but improved using maximum lipase value as an outcome (AUC 0.88 [95% CI 0.84-0.92]). At a positive predictive value of 90%, the custom algorithm had a sensitivity of 92%, the automated algorithm trained on diagnosis code count had a sensitivity of 45%, and the automated algorithm trained on maximum lipase value had a sensitivity of 84%. However, a prediction rule derived by clinicians during chart review was nearly as accurate (maximum lipase value [&ge;] 3 times upper limit of normal; AUC 0.86, PPV 85%, sensitivity 92%). Discussion: Machine learning algorithms with manually curated structured data and NLP features trained on validated outcomes data successfully identified validated events. Use of an outcome in the automated model based on specific phenotype knowledge (maximum lipase value) allowed for performance similar to the custom model and with considerably less resources.

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Identify Patients at Risk of HIV Using a Clinical Large Language Model from Electronic Health Records

Liu, Y.; Chen, Z.; Suman, P.; Cho, H.; Prosperi, M.; Wu, Y.

2026-04-23 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351427 medRxiv
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This study developed a large language model (LLM)-based solution to identify people at HIV risk using electronic health records. We transformed structured EHR data, including demographics, diagnoses, and medications, into narrative descriptions ordered by visit date and applied GatorTron, a widely used clinical LLM trained on 82 billion words of de-identified clinical text. We compared GatorTron with traditional machine learning models, including LASSO and XGBoost. We identified a cohort with 54,265 individuals, where only 3,342 (6%) had new HIV diagnoses. Our LLM solution, based on GatorTron, achieved excellent performance, reaching an F1 score of 53.5% and an AUC of 0.88, comparable to traditional machine learning approaches. Subgroup analysis showed that, across age, sex, and race/ethnicity groups, both LLM and traditional models achieved AUCs above 0.82. Interpretability analyses showed broadly consistent patterns across LLM models and traditional machine learning models.

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Development and Temporal Evaluation of Multimodal Machine Learning Models to Predict High Inpatient Opioid Exposure

Kale, S.; Singh, D.; Truumees, E.; Geck, M.; Stokes, J.

2026-04-02 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.31.26349842 medRxiv
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High inpatient opioid exposure is associated with increased risk of persistent opioid use. Early identification of high-risk patients may improve opioid stewardship. We developed machine learning models to predict high opioid exposure during hospitalization using electronic health record data from MIMIC-IV. We conducted a retrospective study of 223,452 unique first hospital admissions in MIMIC-IV. The outcome was high opioid exposure, defined as the top decile among opioid-exposed admissions (MME/day [&ge;] 225), representing 2.65% of all admissions. Structured early-admission features included demographics, admission characteristics, laboratory utilization and abnormality summaries, and 24-hour procedural indicators. Discharge-note data were incorporated using ClinicalBERT embeddings and interpretable bigram features. Models were trained using an 80/10/10 split and evaluated with temporal validation on the most recent 10% of admissions. Performance was assessed using ROC-AUC and PR-AUC with 95% confidence intervals. Among structured-only models, XGBoost achieved the best test performance (ROC-AUC 0.932 [0.924-0.940]; PR-AUC 0.223 [0.193-0.262]). The combined structured and notes model improved precision-recall performance (ROC-AUC 0.932 [0.920-0.943]; PR-AUC 0.276 [0.229-0.331]). Temporal evaluation showed similar discrimination (ROC-AUC 0.929; PR-AUC 0.223). High-risk bigrams included procedural terms such as "external fixation" and "cervical discectomy." Integration of structured and text-derived features improved risk stratification compared to structured data alone. Interpretable bigram signals reflected procedural complexity and orthopedic pathology, reinforcing the clinical plausibility of model predictions. Multimodal EHR-based models accurately predict high inpatient opioid exposure and may support targeted opioid stewardship during hospitalization.

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ChooseMyStat: A Web-Based Interactive Tool for Statistical Test Selection and Analysis Plan Generation in Clinical Research

Srivastava, S.; Punyani, S. R.; Vazalwar, D.; Joshi, A.; Pakhare, A. P.

2026-06-03 medical education 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354730 medRxiv
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Background: Postgraduate medical residents frequently face difficulty in selecting appropriate statistical tests and preparing statistical analysis plans (SAPs) for thesis work. Existing resources often identify statistical tests without guiding implementation, reporting or software execution. Aims: To describe the development, features and content validation of ChooseMyStat, a free, open source, web based interactive tool for statistical test selection and SAP text generation in clinical research. Methods: ChooseMyStat was developed as a React based web application using an iterative, AI assisted development process under direct faculty supervision. The tool uses a branching decision algorithm covering 18 inferential statistical tests, two diagnostic accuracy measures, four agreement/reliability statistics, and four descriptive statistics scenarios. For each recommendation, it generates a SAP template paragraph, a results reporting example, step by step JASP instructions, and R code. Content validation was performed using 105 open-access original research articles from 15 broad medical specialties published in Indian journals during 2024 2025. Results: The tool covers commonly used statistical methods, including t tests, ANOVA, chi square variants, non parametric alternatives, correlation, regression (linear, logistic, ordinal), survival analysis, methods for clustered or repeated data, diagnostic accuracy measures, and agreement/reliability statistics. Among 365 statistical tests identified across 105 articles (excluding normality checking procedures), 346 (94.8%) were covered by the tool. Complete coverage of all statistical methods used was observed in 86 of 105 articles (81.9%). Conclusions: ChooseMyStat integrates statistical test selection with implementation guidance, SAP generation, reporting support and software instructions within a single interface. The tool may support postgraduate research training by improving accessibility to applied biostatistics guidance.

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Large language models and retrieval augmented generation for complex clinical codelists: evaluating performance and assessing failure modes

Matthewman, J.; Denaxas, S.; Langan, S.; Painter, J. L.; Bate, A.

2026-04-24 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351098 medRxiv
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ObjectivesLarge language models (LLMs) have shown promise in creating clinical codelists for research purposes, a time-consuming task requiring expert domain knowledge. Here, we evaluate the performance and assess failure modes of a retrieval augmented generation (RAG) approach to creating clinical codelists for the large and complex medical terminology used by the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Materials & MethodsWe set up a RAG system using a database of word embeddings of the medical terminology that we created using a general-purpose word embedding model (gemini-embedding). We developed 7 reference codelists presenting different challenges and tagged required and optional codes. We ran 168 evaluations (7 codelists, 2 different database subsets, 4 models, 3 epochs each). Scoring was based on the omission of required codes, and inclusion of irrelevant codes. We used model-grading (i.e., grading by another LLM with the reference codelists provided as context) to evaluate the output codelists (a score of 0% being all incorrect and 100% being all correct). ResultsWe saw varying accuracy across models and codelists, with Gemini 3 Pro (Score 43%) generally performing better than Claude Sonnet 4.6 (36%), Gemini 3 Flash, and OpenAI GPT 5.2 performing worst (14%). Models performed better with shorter target codelists (e.g., Eosinophilic esophagitis with four codes, and Hidradenitis suppurativa with 14 codes). For example, all models consistently failed to produce a complete Wrist fracture codelist (with 214 required codes). We further present evaluation summaries, and failure mode evaluations produced by parsing LLM chat logs. DiscussionBesides demonstrating that a single-shot RAG approach is currently not suitable for codelist generation, we demonstrate failure modes including hallucinations, retrieval failures and generation failures where retrieved codes are not used. ConclusionsOur findings suggest that while RAG systems using current frontier LLMs may create correct clinical codelists in some cases, they still struggle with large and complex terminologies and codelists with a large number of codes. The failure mode we highlight can inform the creation of future workflows to avoid failures.

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Stigmatizing Language Detection in Opioid Use Disorder Patient-Directed Discharge Clinical Documentation: A Privacy-Preserving Analysis Using a Locally Deployed Large Language Model

Izzo, J. A.; McIntyre, A. M.; Nguyen, J.; Bashaw, D.; Torrance, C. A.; Foster, J.

2026-06-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354402 medRxiv
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Objective: Stigmatizing language in the electronic health record (EHR) has been associated with adverse patient experience in substance use disorder care, including opioid use disorder (OUD). This study evaluated a privacy-preserving, locally-deployed large language model as a method to detect stigmatizing language documentation in OUD patients with patient-directed discharge (PDD). Methods: A retrospective cohort study of 477 inpatient admissions from the MIMIC-IV database with a diagnosis of opioid use disorder were classified using a locally deployed Gemma-4-31b-it-bf16 model and predefined 140 term lexicon to identify stigmatizing language in clinical documentation. Results: Analysis of clinical documentation showed stigmatizing language was present in 84.1% (190/226) in the PDD cohort vs 62.2% (156/251) in the non-PDD cohort, with an unadjusted odds ratio of 3.21 (95% CI 2.07-4.98; p < 0.0001). After adjustment for age, sex, insurance status, marital status, and race, PDD discharge remained an independent predictor of stigmatizing documentation (aOR 2.24, 95% CI 1.40-3.59; p < 0.0001). Further analysis of stigma intensity showed higher stigmatizing markers in the PDD cohort vs the non-PDD cohort (2.85 {+/-} 2.39 vs 2.02 {+/-} 2.44; p < 0.0001). Discussion and Conclusion: Stigmatizing language is detected with increased frequency and prevalence in clinical documentation of OUD patients that initiate PDD compared to those that adhere to standard discharge processes. A locally deployed large language model (LLM) offers a scalable, privacy-preserving method to audit clinical documentation for stigmatizing language.

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Comparative Evaluation of Logistic Regression and Gradient Boosting Models for Influenza Outbreak Early-Warning Using U.S. CDC ILINet Surveillance Data (2010-2025)

Onwuameze, C. N.; Madu, V.

2026-03-13 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347655 medRxiv
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BackgroundTimely detection of seasonal influenza outbreaks is critical for healthcare system preparedness and public health response. Although numerous studies have examined short-term influenza forecasting, fewer have operationalized prediction as a binary early-warning problem linked to actionable surveillance thresholds. This study evaluated the performance of traditional and machine learning models for detecting national influenza outbreak weeks using U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ILINet surveillance data. MethodsWeekly national ILINet data from 2010-2025 were analyzed. Outbreak weeks were defined as those in which weighted influenza-like illness (ILIPERCENT) exceeded the 90th percentile of the 2010-2017 training distribution (threshold = 3.3932%). Predictors included three-week lags of ILIPERCENT and percent positive laboratory specimens, along with seasonal harmonic terms. Models were trained on 2010-2017 data and evaluated on a temporally held-out 2020-2025 test period. Performance metrics included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), precision-recall area under the curve (PR-AUC), sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1-score. FindingsOn the 2020-2025 test set, logistic regression achieved an AUC of 0.9964 and PR-AUC of 0.9868, with sensitivity of 1.0000 and specificity of 0.9516. XGBoost achieved an AUC of 0.9946 and PR-AUC of 0.9812, with sensitivity of 0.8939 and specificity of 0.9798. Both models demonstrated near-perfect discrimination between outbreak and non-outbreak weeks under strict temporal validation. InterpretationNational influenza outbreak early-warning can be implemented using publicly available CDC surveillance data with high discriminatory accuracy. Framing prediction as a threshold-based outbreak detection problem strengthens operational relevance and supports integration of predictive analytics into routine influenza surveillance and preparedness planning. Author SummarySeasonal influenza places a heavy burden on hospitals and communities each year, yet public health officials often rely on surveillance reports that describe what has already happened rather than signaling when activity is about to intensify. We examined whether routinely collected U.S. influenza surveillance data could be used to detect outbreak conditions earlier and more clearly. Using national data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) covering 2010 to 2025, we compared a traditional statistical model with a machine learning approach to determine how accurately each could identify weeks when influenza activity exceeded a predefined outbreak threshold. Both approaches performed extremely well when tested on recent seasons, correctly distinguishing outbreak from non-outbreak weeks with high accuracy. Importantly, this framework translates weekly surveillance data into a practical alert signal rather than simply producing numerical forecasts. By linking model output to a clear outbreak definition, health departments and healthcare systems could use similar tools to support timely planning, communication, and resource allocation during influenza season.

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Relationship Extraction for Adverse Drug Events in Clinical Notes Using Large Language Models

Plasek, J. M.; Li, Y.; Amato, M. G.; Foer, D.; Seger, D. L.; Alzaidi, S.; Zhou, H.; Jackson, G. P.; Bates, D. W.; Zhou, L.

2026-06-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354362 medRxiv
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Background: Adverse drug events (ADEs) are a critical indicator of patient safety but are often documented only in free-text clinical notes. The potential of recent advances in natural language processing (NLP), particularly generative large language models (LLMs), to identify ADEs remains understudied. This study aimed to compare the performance of multiple LLMs in identifying ADE-Drug relationships in inpatient and ambulatory clinical notes. Methods: We used clinical notes from the 2018 National NLP Clinical Challenge (n2c2) ADE dataset (inpatient; n=505) and from outpatient encounters (n=2,555) between October 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019, at a large academic medical center based in New England. Notes were pre-processed into snippets for model input. Evaluated Models included: GPT-4o, GPT-4o-mini, LLAMA 3.3-70B and their instruction fine-tuned variants (including low-rank adapters for LLAMA). Performance was assessed using both strict and relaxed evaluations (precision, recall, and F1) for all models, followed by manual evaluation (exact semantic match, partial match, missing ADE, drug mention only, not a drug, or wrong) of the two best-performing models. Results: GPT-4o and GPT-4o-mini were the top-performing models among those evaluated. GPT-4o consistently outperformed GPT-4o-mini in ADE extraction across both datasets, with higher F1-scores (0.524 vs. 0.381) and a more balanced precision-recall profile. Both models captured ADEs effectively in explicit and complex clinical contexts, although limitations included misclassification of pre-existing allergies and occasional conflation of therapeutic indications with adverse effects. GPT-4o achieved higher exact match coverage and fewer errors across clinical notes, indicating more reliable performance in both inpatient and ambulatory settings. Conclusion: This work establishes a foundation for integrating LLM methods into real-world drug safety surveillance, with direct implications for improving patient safety.

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Harmonising UK primary care prescription records for research: A case study in the UK Biobank

Ytsma, C. R.; Torralbo, A.; Fitzpatrick, N. K.; Pietzner, M.; Louloudis, I.; Nguyen, D.; Ansarey, S.; Denaxas, S.

2026-04-22 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351274 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to develop and validate an automated, scalable framework to harmonise fragmented UK primary care prescription records into a research-ready dataset by mapping four diverse medical ontologies to a unified, historically comprehensive reference standard. Materials and MethodsWe used raw prescription records for consented participants in the UK Biobank, in which participants are uniquely characterized by multiple data modalities. Primary care data were preprocessed by selecting one drug code if multiple were recorded, cleaning codes to match reference presentations, expanding code granularity based on drug descriptions, and updating outdated codes to a single reference version. Harmonisation entailed mapping British National Formulary (BNF) and Read2 codes to dm+d, the universal NHS standard vocabulary for uniquely identifying and prescribing medicines. Harmonised dm+d records were then homogenised to a single concept granularity, the Virtual Medicinal Product (VMP). We validated our methods by creating medication profiles mapping contemporary drug prescribing patterns in 312 physical and mental health conditions. ResultsWe preprocessed 57,659,844 records (100%) from 221,868 participants (100%). Of those, 48,950 records were dropped due to lack of drug code. 7,357,572 records (13%) used multiple ontologies. Most (76%) records were encoded in BNF and most had the code granularity expanded via the drug description (N=28,034,282; 49%). 41,244,315 records (72%) were harmonised to dm+d and 99.98% of these were converted to VMP as a homogeneous dataset. Across 312 diseases, we identified 23,352 disease-drug associations with 237 medications (represented as BNF subparagraphs) that survived statistical correction of which most resembled drug - indication pairs. ConclusionOur methodology converts highly fragmented and raw prescription records with inconsistent data quality into a streamlined, enriched dataset at a single reference, version, and granularity of information. Harmonised prescription records can be easily utilised by researchers to perform large-scale analyses in research.

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Development of a Deep Learning Based Framework for Classification of Indian Venomous Snakes Integrated with Explainable Artificial Intelligence for primary and emergency care providers

Manna, I. I. A.; Wagle, U.; Balaji, B.; Lath, V.; Sampathila, N.; Sirur, F. M.; Upadya, S.

2026-03-18 emergency medicine 10.64898/2026.03.16.26348471 medRxiv
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BackgroundSnakebite envenoming is a significant global health crisis that has been long neglected as a global health priority. It is a huge problem for rural communities of low and middle-income countries, India accounts for the largest proportion of snakebite deaths globally. Timely identification of venomous snakebite and its syndromic pattern is essential for effective administration of antivenom and supportive treatment. Expert identification of snake species and syndromes is not always available in peripheral healthcare settings. This leads to delays, unnecessary referrals, or improper treatment choices. Additionally, diverse snake species distribution and venom variations across regions pose challenges. AI-powered image classification methods can help overcome these barriers. We propose a clinically oriented deep learning pipeline for binary classification of venomous and non-venomous snake species of India using real-world imagery data. This pipeline would serve as a baseline step towards aiding snakebite management at peripheral healthcare setups with scarce resources. MethodsThe selected dataset consisted of 20 medically important Indian species. MobileViT-S, ConvNeXt-Tiny, EfficientNet-V2-S and ResNeXt-50 (32x4d) were trained under same conditions for comparison of results. Model interpretability was evaluated using Grad-CAM ++ to ensure that classification was not performed based on background but on features like head shape and stripes present on body. For reliable implementation we connected it to a web interface with human in loop expert verification. Experts can confirm or override predictions in real time. ResultsAmong the evaluated architectures, ResNeXt-50 (32x4d) showed the most reliable and consistent performance in classifying venomous and non-venomous snakes. It achieved the highest test accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-score. The model also had strong discriminative ability, with a ROC-AUC of 0.9950 and PR-AUC of 0.9959. These results indicate dependable performance in safety-critical screening situations. Grad-CAM++ visualizations confirmed that predictions were based on anatomically relevant features, especially in the head and body contour areas. This supports model interpretability and reduces background bias. ConclusionsAlthough the dataset size and single-institution source limit how widely the results can be applied, the proposed framework shows that its possible to create a clinically oriented, ready-to-use deep learning system for snakebite triage support. This system is intended as a scalable tool to help rural healthcare workers, emergency responders, and telemedicine platforms in areas where snakebites are common. Author SummarySnakebite is a major public health concern that disproportionally affects the rural population. Delays in identifying whether a snake is venomous often lead to delayed treatment, unnecessary use of antivenom, or inappropriate referrals. In many rural settings, access to expert snake identification is limited. To address this gap, authors have developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-based image classification system that distinguishes snakes into two clinically relevant categories: venomous or non-venomous. Unlike many previous studies that focused on ideal, high-quality wildlife images, our model was trained using real-world photographs captured in emergency situations, including images taken by patients and field responders under variable lighting and background conditions. This approach improves the models relevance to practical healthcare settings. The system achieved high accuracy and was further strengthened by visual interpretability tools and expert verification to ensure reliability. By combining AI-assisted classification with human oversight, this work provides a scalable decision-support tool that may improve early triage, rational antivenom use, and surveillance in snakebite-endemic regions

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Assessing the reliability of immunofluorescence image analysis with artificial intelligence

Bertin, D.; Bongrand, P.; Bardin, N.

2026-05-18 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.10.26352837 medRxiv
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In view of the outstanding progress of machine learning (ML) and growing cost of health systems, it is a current challenge to incorporate artificial intelligence tools into actual medical practice. Here we explored the feasibility and reliability of using machine learning to perform an important immunological investigation that currently requires experienced biologists : Anti-nuclear cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCAs) are important markers for vasculitis and they may be evidenced by microscopic examination of cells labeled with patients' sera. The use of a reliable ML classifier to discriminate between positive and negative samples would increase the rapidity and decrease the cost of immunofluorescence-based ANCA detection. Here, we tested seven well-documented ML algorithms, ranging from simple models such as k nearest neighbors to more complex convolutional neural networks involving millions of adjustable parameter. We studied the feasibility and reliability of classifying 1114 serum samples that had been collected for about 3 years and assayed with conventional procedure. We compared four strategies consisting of assaying either whole microscope fields or individual cell images, and natural images or histograms. The following conclusions were obtained : (i) Several different strategies allowed us to build models stable enough to discriminate between positive and negative samples collected during about 27 months, with a comparison to human classification yielding a kappa index of about 0.7, that may be considered as fairly good and intermediate between the performance of junior and senior biologists. (ii) Simpler ML models combined with theoretical thinking might provide the most rapid and efficient way of developing a reliable test within the framework of a single institution. (iii) In addition, the interpretability of the simplest model provided some theoretical insight into important classification parameters. (iv) An important point and caveat is that the multiplicity and versatility of currently available tools make it an essential requirement to test repeatedly a given model, that must be chosen as simple as possible, to achieve a reliability compatible with medical use. It is concluded that our study provides a strong incentive to incorporate ML tools in well defined medical tests, which might reduce the risk of human errors and pave the way to fully automatic procedures.

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MedSDoH: A Rule-Based System for Extracting Social Determinants of Health from Multi-site EHRs Based on the OHNLP Framework

Ahn, J.; Fu, S.; Palacios, D. M.; Jeong, H.-H.; Wang, L.; Swartz, M. C.; Tosur, M.; Redondo, M. J.; Wu, X.; Yue, Z.; Kakadiaris, A.; Wang, N.; Li, Z.; Huang, M.; Wen, A.; Harris, D.; Wang, Y.; Kwak, M. J.; Liu, Z.; Liu, H.

2026-04-29 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.27.26351699 medRxiv
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ObjectiveSocial Determinants of Health (SDoH) are critical to patient care and population health. Despite their importance, SDoH information is frequently embedded within unstructured clinical text such as patient-reported information or social worker notes, which limits its use on clinical decision-making and resource allocation. Although transformer-based models represent the current state of the art, their scalability, computational requirements, and limited transparency pose barriers to large-scale multi-site clinical implementation. In this context, rule-based NLP systems remain valuable, particularly when explainability, reproducibility, and rapid customization are essential. MethodsMedSDoH was developed within the Open Health Natural Language Processing (OHNLP) Framework using literature-derived SDoH resources, standardized domain definitions, and expert-curated rulesets. Large language models (LLMs) were used during development to assist with rule generation and lexicon expansion. Rules were iteratively refined against a gold-standard annotated corpus from two health systems and then evaluated on independent datasets. ResultThe final system included 942 regular expression rules spanning 22 SDoH domains. On validation on two external datasets, MedSDoH demonstrated generalizability and comparable performance across sites. The system has been made publicly available so research community can collaboratively contribute to the maintenance and extension through disease- or site-specific adaptations. ConclusionMedSDoH is a computationally efficient and open-source system for large-scale SDoH extraction from clinical text. It is well-suited for multi-site adaptation and deployment in resource-constrained settings.

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Improving Medicare Fraud Detection Accuracy in Deep Learning by Exploring Feature Selection and Data Sampling Techniques.

Ahammed, F.

2026-03-20 health informatics 10.64898/2026.03.18.26348763 medRxiv
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5.0%
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Fraud in the health landscape is an aggravating issue, with far-reaching consequences burdening the financial stability of the health industry and threatening the quality of medical care. It results from vulnerabilities within the current healthcare framework that are exploited by the fraudsters in their favor. In spite of many developed models that aim to detect fraudulent patterns in insurance claims, the accuracy of such models frequently suffers as a result of the imbalance issue of the Medicare dataset and irrelevant features. This study ventures to improve detection performance and accuracy by employing a deep learning model along with data sampling and feature selection techniques. Comparative analysis among different combinations is conducted to determine their efficacy to enhance the accuracy of the fraud detection model. Hence, the suggested model clearly demonstrates that a combination of myriad data sampling and feature selection techniques is helping to improve accuracy and performance. The accuracy was thus 95.4%, with negligible evidence of overfitting detected using both Chi-square and Synthetic Minority Over-sampling (SMOTE) techniques. Ultimately, the study findings underscore the significance of employing combined techniques instead of using only the baseline deep learning model for better performance in detecting Medicare insurance fraud.

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Characterizing Documented Psychosocial Stressors in Pediatric Psychiatric Emergencies with an Open-Weight Large Language Model

Hartlage, C. S.; Manning, E. R.; Bernard, J.; Vaish, S.; Gray, J.; Young, M.; Pestian, T.; Folger, A. T.; Tachinardi, P.; Mendonca, E. A.; Brokamp, C.

2026-06-09 health informatics 10.64898/2026.06.08.26354931 medRxiv
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4.9%
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Objective: To evaluate whether a locally hosted open-weight large language model (LLM) can extract documented psychosocial factors from pediatric psychiatric intake notes and apply validated extraction to a large emergency psychiatry cohort. Materials and Methods: We identified emergency department presentations at Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center from January 1, 2016, through December 31, 2024, among patients younger than 18 years with psychiatric billing diagnoses. Using full-text intake notes, gpt-oss:120b classified peer conflict, sleep disruption, and school-related academic, attendance, and disciplinary issues as detected, negated, or indeterminate. Four human raters independently reviewed 50 notes. We compared Fleiss' kappa among humans alone versus humans plus the LLM, assessed repeated-query stability across 50 independent calls per note, and applied the workflow to all eligible notes. Results: Among 37,315 eligible admissions, 22,284 had eligible intake notes; 22,270 produced parseable JSON. In detected-versus-not-detected coding, human-plus-LLM reliability did not differ significantly from human-only reliability across measures (human {kappa} 0.71-0.94; human-plus-LLM {kappa} 0.70-0.93). Stability was associated with human agreement: mean LLM-human agreement increased from 42.6% for classifications with less than 80% stability to 82.7% for classifications with 100% stability (Pearson r = 0.36). Full-cohort extraction showed frequent and overlapping documented factors: sleep disruption was most frequently detected (57.7%), followed by peer conflict (47.2%), academic issues (43.4%), disciplinary issues (43.3%), and attendance issues (16.9%). Discussion: Agreement varied by construct and was strongest when repeated model outputs were stable. Conclusion: Locally hosted open-weight LLMs can support scalable structured extraction of documented psychosocial factors from pediatric psychiatric intake notes after local validation.

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Performance of Large Language Models as a Tool for Primary Care Consultations: Evaluation Study

Pascual, N.; Fernandez-Pichel, M.; Losada, D. E.; Garcia-Orosa, B.; Gude, F.; Costa Lathan, C.; Sueiro Justel, J.; Gomez Fontenla, A.; Lastra Perez, M.; Alonso Garcia,, F.

2026-05-04 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.29.26352082 medRxiv
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Since the release of the first ChatGPT model in 2022, large language models (LLMs) have evolved significantly, and an increasing number of users now turn to these generative information systems for inquiries as sensitive and consequential as those related to health. The primary objective is to identify the main strengths and weaknesses of generative AI systems when responding to information needs as critical as those arising in the health domain. The study was structured using a question-answer format, in which each question corresponded to a user query and each answer represented the output generated by a model in response. The study employed a human evaluation framework involving two distinct panels of clinical experts from different specialties. The evaluation criteria encompassed three dimensions: adherence to medical consensus; presence or absence of inappropriate or incorrect information; and the potential to cause harm to users. GPT-4o mini, Llama 3, and MedLlama 3 were selected as three representative systems for the experiments. This study presents a detailed analysis of the performance of widely used contemporary large language models in addressing common health-related queries posed by online users. The results reinforce the potential of LLMs as tools for online health information seeking among non-expert users. However, the performance limitations identified underscore the need for further studies to monitor the future development of these models. Among them, performance issues have been identified in areas where users may be more vulnerable, leading to the retrieval of clinically incorrect information, particularly in matters relating to rare diseases. Furthermore, it has been noted that these models can become trapped in obsolete medical knowledge due to continuous scientific progress.

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Performance evaluation and benchmarking across 16 large language models on a comprehensive real-world emergency department triage data set

Benning, L.; Hirsch, A.; Groeschel, M.; Roeschl, T.; Spott, M.; Hans, F. P.; Urban, T.; Busch, H.-J.; Meyer, A.; Madrid, J.

2026-06-05 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.28.26353935 medRxiv
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Background Emergency department (ED) triage is a high-stakes clinical decision process that determines patient prioritization and resource allocation under time pressure. Large language models (LLMs) have recently been proposed as decision-support tools for triage, yet most evaluations rely on simulated scenarios or curated datasets. Evidence from real-world clinical environments remains limited. The objective of this project was to systematically evaluate the performance, calibration, and reproducibility of multiple contemporary large language models for Emergency Severity Index (ESI) classification and sectoral allocation (ED vs. urgent care practice, UCP) using a comprehensive real-world triage dataset. Material and Methods Retrospective cross-sectional benchmarking study conducted at a tertiary academic emergency ED in Germany with an integrated central point of assessment (CPA). The study included all consecutive adult walk-in encounters (>18 years) presenting between October 2023 and February 2024 (N = 16,107). Data were collected from a structured clinical decision support system capturing presenting complaints, vital signs, and triage decisions recorded by specialized nursing staff. Structured clinical variables routinely collected at triage, including presenting complaint categories (CEDIS-PCL), vital signs according to the ABCDE framework, and additional structured or free-text clinical information. Results The primary outcome was the agreement between LLM-predicted and nurse-assigned ESI levels measured using quadratic-weighted Cohen's k. Secondary outcomes included sectoral assignment agreement, misclassification patterns (over- and under-triage), calibration metrics, and output reproducibility. Quadratic-weighted k values ranged from 0.18 to 0.75 across models. Only a structured stepwise prompting strategy achieved substantial agreement (k_qw = 0.747), approaching reported human inter-rater reliability. Most models demonstrated moderate or lower agreement and systematic overconfidence, with expected calibration errors (ECE) based on verbalized confidence ranging from 0.099 to 0.355. Sectoral assignment agreement (i.e. ED vs. urgent care practice, UCP) was uniformly low (k < 0.30). Reproducibility testing revealed substantial variability in 23% of cases, indicating non-deterministic output behavior for clinically relevant decisions. Conclusions Current large language models demonstrate heterogeneous and generally limited performance in real-world emergency triage tasks. Structured algorithm-guided prompting appears more influential than model architecture or size. Before clinical implementation, improvements in calibration, reliability, and workflow integration are required, alongside regulatory-compliant validation in prospective clinical settings.